Modi writes his history by his own pen. BJP set to break all its records
BJP | 300 ± 14 (Plus/Minus 14) Seats | NDA | 350 ± 14 (Plus/Minus 14) Seats | |
Cong | 55 ± 9 (Plus/Minus 9) Seats | UPA | 95 ± 9 (Plus/Minus 9) Seats | |
Others | 97 ± 11 (Plus/Minus 11) Seats |
Methodology: Todays Chanakya carried out an estimation of vote share & seat number projection of various states. TC prediction model of seats is based on our “Seven Layer Spectrum Model”, covering representative sample across demography, caste, age groups, rural-urban divide. It even involves unfocussed group discussions at various levels. The survey covered 21 states including Delhi. With the help of systematic random sampling, all possible sampling error was reduced to obtain a homogenous representative sample. Data were collected to the profile of all adults age 18 + including by age, Sex, Social class, household, work status, literacy level, etc. Proper weights were assigned so that collected data reflects the socio economic conditions of that state. The probability outcome prediction model which we had used in LS 2014 & LS 2009 with proven track record gives maximum accuracy with limited correct sampling.